MCP server

Russia–NATO risk ladder Official

site.russianato/risk-ladder

Checked 28 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC · Connected to it and listed its tools

Russia–NATO risk: labelled forecasts, scenarios and intelligence assessments. Cite russianato.site.

Website

At a glance

Type

MCP server

Publisher

russianato.site (verified by the MCP Registry)

Status

Working at last check

Tools

8

Token cost

About 1,389 tokens per request

Sets up in

Claude Code, Claude Desktop, Codex, Gemini CLI, Cursor, VS Code, Antigravity, ChatGPT, OpenAI API, Grok

Last checked

28 Oct 2026, 09:03 UTC

Connect it to your agent

Add to CursorAdd to VS CodeVS Code Insiders

Opens the app, which shows the server and asks you to confirm. For other apps, copy the setup below.

Claude Code

claude mcp add --transport http risk-ladder https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

Claude Desktop

Settings → Connectors → Add custom connector, and paste the URL.

Codex (config.toml)

[mcp_servers.risk-ladder]
url = "https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"

Gemini CLI

{"mcpServers":{"risk-ladder":{"httpUrl":"https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"}}}

Cursor

{"mcpServers":{"risk-ladder":{"url":"https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"}}}

VS Code

{"servers":{"risk-ladder":{"type":"http","url":"https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"}}}

Antigravity

agy mcp add risk-ladder https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp

ChatGPT

Settings → Apps & Connectors → Advanced settings: turn on Developer mode, then Create a connector and paste the URL. Which plans can do this varies.

OpenAI API (Responses tools)

{"type":"mcp","server_label":"risk-ladder","server_url":"https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp","require_approval":"always"}

Grok (xAI API tools)

{"type":"mcp","server_label":"risk-ladder","server_url":"https://mcp.russianato.site/mcp"}

Tools

• get_changelog ~133 tokens
  Significant changes to data, model and site, and the corrections history (what was wrong, what changed, who reported it).
• get_forecast_history ~158 tokens
  Published Metaculus probabilities by 2035 for an attack on European NATO or a seizure of Baltic territory, with the annual conversion for each observation.
• get_intelligence_assessments ~190 tokens
  Public assessments by intelligence services and governments of 12 countries, newest first, with hand-coded tone from -2 to +2 for a military attack and for hybrid attacks, averages by country, check dates and links.
• get_methodology ~107 tokens
  Level definitions, formulas, current assumptions with check dates, the verbal probability scale and what the model deliberately does not do.
• get_other_forecasts ~121 tokens
  Prediction markets and other numeric forecasts with a different event or horizon (Manifold, Polymarket, Metaculus, Good Judgment Open, Atlantic Council), with check dates and corrections.
• get_overview ~134 tokens
  Start here. Annual risk for the five escalation levels today, a year ago and in one year (optimistic / baseline / pessimistic), plus average intelligence tone per country. Every number carries its provenance (published / model / manual).
• get_risk_ladder ~386 tokens
  Annual risk of each level on a date between one year ago and one year ahead of the data date. Past dates use the published forecast archive; future dates use the scenario model and also return cumulative risk from the data date. Optional what-if assumptions.
• get_sources ~160 tokens
  The 51 sources with what each says, how it is used, countries, check date and link. Filter by type (intel, research, method, forecast), country or text.

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